The Pinarayi Vijayan-led LDF is ahead in 91 out of the 140 seats in the southern state while the Congress-led UDF is leading in 39, as per the current trends.
If the trends hold, Vijayan will stay on as chief minister of Kerala for another five years.
While it is not uncommon for ruling parties to get re-elected in an election, Kerala has stood out as an exception over the years.
In the last four decades, Kerala has not once re-elected a ruling government. The state has stuck to a decades-long cyclical LDF-UDF-LDF-UDF five-year pattern.
If the LDF retains power for a historic second term, it will break this 40-year trend in the state.
The Vijayan administration seems to have prevailed in the state despite a spate of issues like anti-incumbency, the Sabarimala row, corruption allegations and the worsening Covid crisis.
A victory for Vijayan would cement his appeal as a mass leader in the state who is known for his quick decision making, humanitarian approach and focus on welfare schemes.
Boost for Left
At a time when the Left is fighting for political survival, the results in Kerala will surely come as an encouraging sign for communism in India.
Since losing its grip on Bengal and Tripura, Kerala was the only bastion of the Left Front in India.
Losing power in the state would have resulted in a “Left-mukt bharat” – leaving the front on the edge of political abyss.